Bill,
The strikingly different predictions now bubbling up in both the mainstream media and the blogosphere (to which we of course, are proud contributors), highlight the depth of our bitterly divided electorate. The contrast between those who predict victory for Romney or triumph for the President appears to depend entirely on their perception of who will show up at the polls. The Romney enthusiasts see a reprise of 2010, when enraged conservatives eradicated a 25 seat Democratic majority in the House and 7 seats in the Senate. Obama supporters see an electorate similar to the composition of the 2008 version that yielded the 4th largest Democratic margin of victory in history.
As usual, both sides live in universes that are incompatible with each other. Both of them cannot be right, unless we have some form of a tie, in which case the result will not be decided by the people, but by someone else.
Too many parts of the Obama coalition are either unenthusiastic, disengaged, or disillusioned. Obama has himself to blame for some of that. On the other side, the right is so determined to get rid of the President that it doesn't care that his opponent is a man who seems entirely devoid of principle. Either Romney was lying in the primaries or he's lying now. Do you have any idea what he believes at this point? Does he?
My heart wants to believe, but my head says different. Either Romney will coast to a surprisingly easy victory, or we will have a mess that makes 2000 look like a garden party
Eli
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